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Strategy Articles

The Road to Worlds 2013, Week 2 (part II)

by James Hoskin, Director of Organized Play

11th April 2013

The Road to Worlds 2013, Week 2 began in part I.


This week, one player won a Day One, Round One bye into their local First Edition Continental Championships:

And, six players won a Day One, Round One bye into their local Second Edition Continental Championships:

And, four players won a 100,000 Tribble Headstart into their local Tribbles Continental Championships:

These bye winners have been added to the list of current bye winners for the Continental Championships and the World Championships here. For everyone who didn't win a bye, there are still 73 Regionals where you can earn one.

Deck Statistics

There were 7 players at one First Edition tournament this week, taking the total players at First Edition Regional Championships to 7 - an average of 7.0 players per tournament.

The best performing First Edition affiliations to date are [Baj] Bajoran, averaging 12.0 victory points per tournament; [Bor] Borg, averaging 10.0 victory points; followed by [Fed] Federation and [Dom] Dominion, averaging 9.0 victory points. The worst performing affiliations will be published once more decks have been played.

The most popular First Edition affiliations are currently:
1.[Bor] BorgUsed by 2 (29%) players
2.[Baj] BajoranUsed by 1 (14%) player1 Regional win
2.[Dom] DominionUsed by 1 (14%) player
2.[Fed] FederationUsed by 1 (14%) player
2.[Kli] KlingonUsed by 1 (14%) player
2.Dual AffiliationsUsed by 1 (14%) player

There were 41 players at five Second Edition tournaments this week, taking the total players at Second Edition Regional Championships to 41 - an average of 8.2 players per tournament. Only two affiliations were not played this week: [Fer] Ferengi and [NA] Non-Aligned.

The best performing Second Edition affiliations to date are [DS9] Deep Space 9 and [Maq] Maquis, averaging 17.0 victory points per tournament; followed by [TOS] Original Series, averaging 13.5 victory points; and then [Rom] Romulan, averaging 12.5 victory points. The worst performing affiliations (that have been played) are [Baj] Bajoran, [Car] Cardassian and Earth Space 9; all averaging 10.0 victory points per tournament.

The most popular Second Edition affiliations are currently:
1.[TNG] Next GenerationUsed by 7 (17%) players1 Regional win
2.[Kli] KlingonUsed by 5 (12%) players1 Regional win
3.[Dom] DominionUsed by 4 (10%) players1 Regional win
3.[SF] StarfleetUsed by 4 (10%) players1 Regional win
5.[Baj] BajoranUsed by 3 (7%) players
5.Earth Space 9Used by 3 (7%) players
5.RelativityUsed by 3 (7%) players
8.[Bor] BorgUsed by 2 (5%) players
8.[Rom] RomulanUsed by 2 (5%) players
8.[TN] Terok NorUsed by 2 (5%) players
8.[TOS] Original SeriesUsed by 2 (5%) players
12.[Car] CardassianUsed by 1 (2%) player
12.[DS9] Deep Space 9Used by 1 (2%) player1 Regional win
12.[Maq] MaquisUsed by 1 (2%) player
12.[Voy] Voyager/EquinoxUsed by 1 (2%) player

There were 22 players at three Tribbles tournaments this week, taking the total players at Tribbles Regional Championships is 22 - an average of 7.3 players per tournament. Excluding preliminary heats, a total of 9,699,255 Tribbles have been scored to date, an average of 440,875 Tribbles per player.

The most popular Tribbles powers in each deck are:
1.Unknown?Used by 6 (27%) players1 Regional win
2.IDICUsed by 4 (18%) players
3.GoUsed by 3 (14%) players
4.BattleUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.BonusUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.CloneUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.DiscardUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.FreezeUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.PoisonUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.RescueUsed by 1 (5%) player
4.Rescue/PoisonUsed by 1 (5%) player1 Regional win
4.Clone/GoUsed by 1 (5%) player1 Regional win


3/9 (33.3%)3/9 (33.3%)4/9 (44.4%)
2013 Prediction Accuracy

This week, Sean O'Reilly (Jono) failed to live up to last year's performance, where he was 100% correct in all seven of his predictions. However, he still out-predicted both Kris and myself. This week's interviewee, Nat Kirton (Nate Jeezy), hasn't given reasons for why he picked who he did. Maybe he put serious thought into his picks, maybe he just rolled a die. We'll never know.

Past Interviewee Prediction Accuracy
Week 1Sean O'Reilly (Jono)4/9 (44.4%)

Week 2 Preview

The complete schedule can be found in the article 2013 Regional Championships Schedule. There are seven Regional tournaments this week:

Saturday 13th AprilSunday 14th April
Second Edition (Standard)
1206 Duthie Avenue
Burnaby, BC V5A 2R5
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Tribbles (Standard)
1206 Duthie Avenue
Burnaby, BC V5A 2R5
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Tribbles (Standard)
Good Games Burwood
195a Burwood Road, Level 1
Burwood, NSW 2134
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
First Edition (OTF)
1206 Duthie Avenue
Burnaby, BC V5A 2R5
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Second Edition (Standard)
Round Table Pizza
2960 Treat Boulevard
Concord, CA 94518
United States
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Second Edition (Standard)
Sprode's House
812 Hazelwood Boulevard
Jackson, MI 49203
United States
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Second Edition (Standard)
Oleg's House
ulitsa Nametkina
House 9 Building 3, Apt. 307
Moscow, 117420
[Discuss] [Pre-register]

Hyperlight (Second Edition): This Ferenginar Regional is the opening tournament of a triple header Regional weekend in British Columbia, Canada. It is only the second time that a Second Edition tournament has been held at the venue (in the Continuing Committee-era). The first time was the 2012 Canadian National Championships at the start of this year. The top two rated Canadian players attending this tournament finished in the top two places of that tournament. Isaiah Nordhagen (grandnagusmorn) was undefeated to take the title, and Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh) was runner-up. Joining the locals will be San Diego regular, Matt Kirk (CaptMDKirk). All three players appear to be closely matched, with just 18 ratings points and 21 places between the three of them. Matt has won the most Second Edition tournaments, but he has played significantly more than his competitors. In contrast, Isaiah has only played six tournaments in the Continuing Committee-era. He's won two of them though, including the recent Canadian Nationals - and that was after a three and a half year break from the game. Ken, the reigning First Edition World Champion is pretty handy at Second Edition too. He has six tournament wins to his name, three in this year alone. I have a sneaky suspicion that Isaiah will win though.

Kris: Matt Kirk to win. Why? Mr. Charisma is most likely going to be the wiliest veteran in attendance on Saturday, and is surely starved for gold after being a hiccup away from claiming the National title back in January. Considering he's also tight with the Chairman, I gotta believe he'll be allowed to break both bones AND rules inside the squared circle in order to pick up the win.

Nat: Matt Kirk to win.

There are no past Second Edition Regional results at Hyperlight.

Hyperlight (Tribbles): Following hot on the heels of the Second Edition Regional, is this Tribbles Regional. The local playgroup has much more experience with this game, with five sanctioned tournaments since the start of the year. Host Roxanne Barbour (hyperlight) has two wins to her name, while Kurtis Correia (CmdrSpork82), Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh) and Jules Chen (LadyFenix) all have one each. If you add Matt Kirk (CaptMDKirk) into the mix, with two wins in the last three tournaments, it really could be anyone's game. I'm going to pick Kurtis to win though, because he has scored over 500,000 Tribbles in his last three tournaments, and he is the defending champion.

Kris: Kurtis Correia to win. Why? Mr. Correia's batting over .500 in Battle Royale's and hasn't scored less than 50k in a match in nearly 6 months. In this environment the man moves more furniture than the Mayflower, Gorilla, and if you had more brains than bananas you would know that!

Nat: Ken Tufts to win.

Past Tribbles Regional results at Hyperlight:
2012, won by Kurtis Correia (CmdrSpork82) playing a Go deck.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Round Table Pizza: This will be the fourth year this Second Edition Risa Regional has taken place. In the past three years, this Regional has been dominated by two players: Stephen Lee (grendelX) and Rich Joakimson (Outsider). Stephen won the first two in 2010 and 2011, edging out Rich; but Rich was victorious over Stephen last year. Head-to-head, they have played each other seven times, with Rich winning four and Stephen winning three. Both have played approximately the same number of Second Edition tournaments, but Rich has 22 wins to his name, while Stephen only has three. Rich has a far superior win percentage (89% to Stephen's 44%); but Stephen has a much broader experience, having played 61 different players, to Rich's 16. As Stephen hasn't played Second Edition since the World Championships last year, and Rich has won 66% of the tournaments he has played in since then, Rich is my pick to win.

Kris: Rich Joakimson to win. Why? One year later, and The Outsiders still control everything back East in Clarksville. With an impressive 89% win percentage and the referee in his back pocket, I'd say the odds are once again stacked heavily in that man's favor.

Nat: Rich Joakimson to win.

Past Second Edition Regional results at Round Table Pizza:
2012, won by Rich Joakimson (Outsider) playing [SF] Starfleet.
2011, won by Stephen Lee (grendelX) playing [DS9] Deep Space 9.
2010, won by Stephen Lee (grendelX) playing [Bor] Borg
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Sprode's House: This is the inaugural Second Edition Regional to be held at this venue in Jackson, Michigan in the Qo'noS Region. The play group only began organizing tournaments at this venue in October of last year. Since then, they have had twelve tournaments and six different winners. Four of those past winners; Tobin (Altoid), Joshua Sprung (Sprode), Erin Linscott (erinkae86) and Jason Bales (jbales1974); have pre-registered for the Regional. They're in for some tough competition though, what with a handful of players invading from nearby states. Joel Skon (RedAlucard) is heading in from Ohio, and Al Schaefer (ltkettch17) is leading a contingent of players from Illinois. Based upon their ratings, you have to believe that one of these two players will take the title. They've only played together once, with Joel winning that game. Besides that, Al has a most impressive record of eleven wins from 16 tournaments since Regional season began last year. In that time, Joel has five wins from his 19 tournaments. Even though Joel's rating is higher, I think Al will win this one.

Kris: Al Schaefer to win. Why? Torn between allegiances to the n.W.o. and the "Family," family has gotta come first, Gorilla, especially since the Sandman taught us all the hard lesson of The Three I's last year. Though my sources tell me Syxx came out on top in their only previous encounter, so I reserve the right to change my pick mid match!

Nat: Joel Skon to win.

There are no past Second Edition Regional results at Sprode's House.

Good Games Burwood: Australia's first Regional of the year takes place on Sunday with a Tribbles Kazon Collective Regional. Tribbles was introduced at the venue during the 2011 Continental Championships, and has bred at an exponential rate ever since. So much so that the 2012/13 WCT League in Sydney comprised of Tribbles events exclusively. Over those twelve events, two players dominated: the #1 ranked Tribbles breeder in Australia Steve Hartmann (chompers), and the #4 ranked Tribble breeder in Australia Mike Nugent (Iron Mike). Between them, they have won over half of the Tribbles tournaments they have entered. Individually, Steve has won 32% of the tournaments he has entered, while Mike has won 30%. My pick to win this tournament has averaged a higher Tribbles score in his most recent tournaments than Steve has. Mike to win.

Kris: Steve Hartmann to win. Despite the fact that I'm betting against the "Family" with this pick, the Hart Foundation is riding a hot streak currently, having earned a shot at tag team gold last month at a house show in Singapore. Call it a hunch, but I gotta believe come Sunday Mr. Hartmann will topple the tag team monopoly The Brain Busters have built and prove once and for all why he is the King of Harts.

Nat: Mike Nugent to win.

There are no past Tribbles Regional results at Good Games Burwood.

Hyperlight (First Edition): Sunday sees the final Regional in the triple header weekend in the Ferenginar Region. Among the players pre-registered are current World Champion Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh). He has won six of the ten tournaments he has played this year, including the 2012 Canadian Nationals held in January. He also has staggeringly high winning records against his local opponents: 97% from 37 games against Roxanne Barbour (hyperlight), 84% from 32 games against Kurtis Correia (CmdrSpork82) and 95% from 22 games against Jules Chen (LadyFenix). The only real question mark comes from traveling player Matt Kirk (CaptMDKirk). Ken and Matt have only played once, with Ken taking the win. I've got to play the percentages here. Ken to win.

Kris: Ken Tufts to win. Why? The Toast of the Coast Blackhole Slam'd three Regionals last year, and is currently both Pro Wrestling Illustrated's #1 Wrestler in the World and the reigning Worlds' Heavyweight Champion. And where I come from, to be the man, you gotta beat the man, and until he loses he's still... The Man!

Nat: Ken Tufts to win.

Past First Edition Regional results at Hyperlight:
2012, won by Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh) playing [Baj] Bajoran.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Oleg's House: This is the second year this Second Edition Delphic Expanse Regional has been held. Last year saw eight players participate, and there are already ten players pre-registered for this year's tournament. Looking at the ratings for Russian players, three stand out. Host Oleg Ryzhikov (Elfwine) was won three of the 15 tournaments he has played in. Nickolay Korotya (G'Kar) is the highest rated player in the country and has won five of the 25 tournaments he has played in. Andrey Larin (Cersan) has an even better record though, with five wins from 20 tournaments. In head-to-head matchups, Nickolay has the best record of the three players, but the eight wins each from 16 games against Andrey points to a fairly level playing field. Perhaps a different player will win? We need look no further than 2012 Russian National Champion Juri Ross (juriross) for inspiration. His first tournament was the National Championships which he won. The follow-up performance wasn't great, but I think he is in with a chance. For more information on the Russian players, check out the build-up posts in the discussion topic. For my choice, I will "go risky on these players" and pick Nickolay to win.

Kris: Nickolay Korotya to win. Why? Big Money was a Regional runner up and Nationals second runner up last year, so the man's got the pedigree, and after buying up victories in two of his past four contests it seems he's flush with cash too. And like I always say, "money comes to money," Gorilla, and where money goes Regional titles soon follow.

Nat: Andrey Larin to win.

Past Second Edition Regional results at Oleg's House:
2012, won by Andrey Larin (Cersan) playing [TNG] Next Generation.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Next Week

Week 3 of the Road to Worlds sees this weekend's seven Regionals reviewed, an interview with a winning player, the usual explosion of statistics, and a preview of next weekend's eight Regionals. Perhaps I'll get even more love letters name drops in deck list titles from players who I didn't pick to win?

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