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The Road to Worlds 2013, Week 9 (part II)

by James Hoskin, Director of Organized Play

30th May 2013


The Road to Worlds 2013, Week 9 began in part I.


Deck Statistics

There were seven players at one First Edition tournament this week, taking the total players at First Edition Regional Championships to 89 - an average of 6.8 players per tournament.

The best performing First Edition affiliations to date are [Baj] Bajoran, averaging 11.7 victory points per tournament; followed by Vidiian, averaging 11.4 victory points; and then [Fer] Ferengi, averaging 10.9 victory points. The worst performing affiliations to date are [NA] Non-Aligned, averaging 8.3 victory points per tournament; followed by Hirogen, averaging 8.0 victory points; and then [SF] Starfleet, averaging 6.0 victory points.

The most popular First Edition affiliations are currently:
1.[Fed] FederationUsed by 18 (21%) players3 Regional wins
2.[Kli] KlingonUsed by 12 (14%) players3 Regional wins
3.[Fer] FerengiUsed by 10 (12%) players4 Regional wins
4.[Rom] RomulanUsed by 9 (11%) players
5.[Bor] BorgUsed by 7 (8%) players
5.VidiianUsed by 7 (8%) players1 Regional win
7.[NA] Non-AlignedUsed by 5 (6%) players
7.Dual AffiliationsUsed by 5 (6%) players
7.Unknown?Used by 5 (6%) players
10.HirogenUsed by 4 (5%) players
11.[Baj] BajoranUsed by 1 (1%) player1 Regional win
11.[Car] CardassianUsed by 1 (1%) player1 Regional win
11.[Dom] DominionUsed by 1 (1%) player

There were 36 players at five Second Edition tournaments this week, taking the total players at Second Edition Regional Championships to 194 - an average of 8.4 players per tournament. This week's notable activity includes the first wins for [Baj] Bajoran and Earth Space 9, two players using [NA] Non-Aligned (although it is still the least played affiliation), and four players using dual headquarters. The only affiliations not represented this week were [Maq] Maquis and [TN] Terok Nor.

The best performing Second Edition affiliations to date are [Maq] Maquis, averaging 14.3 victory points per tournament; followed by [Kli] Klingon, averaging 12.4 victory points; and then Relativity, averaging 12.3 victory points. The worst performing affiliations are [DS9] Deep Space 9, averaging 9.5 victory points per tournament; followed by [Fer] Ferengi, averaging 9.4 victory points; and then [NA] Non-Aligned, averaging 8.5 victory points.

The most popular Second Edition affiliations are currently:
1.[TNG] Next GenerationUsed by 28 (14%) players1 Regional win
2.[Kli] KlingonUsed by 22 (11%) players6 Regional wins
3.[SF] StarfleetUsed by 18 (9%) players2 Regional wins
4.[Bor] BorgUsed by 15 (8%) players3 Regional wins
5.[TOS] Original SeriesUsed by 14 (7%) players
6.RelativityUsed by 13 (7%) players
7.[Dom] DominionUsed by 12 (6%) players3 Regional wins
8.[Car] CardassianUsed by 9 (5%) players1 Regional win
9.Earth Space 9Used by 8 (4%) players1 Regional win
9.[Voy] Voyager/EquinoxUsed by 8 (4%) players
11.[DS9] Deep Space 9Used by 7 (4%) players2 Regional wins
11.Unknown?Used by 7 (4%) players
13.[Maq] MaquisUsed by 6 (3%) players2 Regional wins
13.[TN] Terok NorUsed by 6 (3%) players
15.[Baj] BajoranUsed by 5 (3%) players1 Regional win
15.Dual AffiliationsUsed by 5 (3%) players
17.[Fer] FerengiUsed by 4 (4%) players1 Regional win
17.[Rom] RomulanUsed by 4 (2%) players
19.[NA] Non-AlignedUsed by 3 (2%) players

There were 16 players at three Tribbles tournaments this week, bringing the total players at Tribbles Regional Championships to 101 - an average of 7.2 players per tournament. Excluding preliminary heats, a total of 31,541,960 Tribbles have been scored to date, an average of 312,297 Tribbles per player. Ten of the 14 Tribbles Regionals held so far do not have all the deck lists entered. If this keeps up, there will be far fewer Regionals awarded next year.

The most popular Tribbles powers in each deck are:
1.Unknown?Used by 25 (25%) players4 Regional wins
2.GoUsed by 20 (20%) players5 Regional wins
3.IDICUsed by 9 (9%) players
4.PoisonUsed by 6 (6%) players1 Regional win
5.BattleUsed by 5 (5%) players
5.CloneUsed by 5 (5%) players
5.DiscardUsed by 5 (5%) players1 Regional win
8.UtilizeUsed by 4 (4%) players
9.BonusUsed by 3 (3%) players1 Regional win
9.RescueUsed by 3 (3%) players
11.FreezeUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.RecycleUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.ReplayUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.ReplicateUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.SkipUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Assimilate/Poison/ScoreUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.BaH!/Qapla'Used by 1 (1%) player
11.Battle/GoUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Battle/ScoreUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Bonus/Reverse/SkipUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Clone/GoUsed by 1 (1%) player1 Regional win
11.Clone/ReplayUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Go/MasakaUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Go/ScanUsed by 1 (1%) player
11.Poison/RescueUsed by 1 (1%) player1 Regional win
11.Reverse/SkipUsed by 1 (1%) player

Predictions

JamesKrisInterviewees
18/52 (34.6%)17/52 (32.7%)19/52 (36.5%)
2013 Prediction Accuracy

With nine results from last week, I fared the best with four correct predictions. Kris was hot on my tail with three, and last week's predictor Chris Lobban (Maelwys) only managed two. That closed the gap between us, and makes things much more interesting with only five weeks' worth of tournaments to go. This week's interviewee, Steve Hartmann (chompers), will need to perform well to reverse the fortunes of the Interviewees.

Past Interviewee Prediction Accuracy
Week 6Matthew Frid (bandana8472)1/1 (100%)
Week 2Nat Kirton (Nate Jeezy)3/6 (50.0%)
Week 7Johnny Holeva (jjh)4/9 (44.4%)
Week 1Sean O'Reilly (Jono)4/9 (44.4%)
Week 3Matt Kirk (CaptMDKirk)3/8 (37.5%)
Week 5Johannes Klarhauser (Kaiser)1/4 (25.0%)
Week 8Chris Lobban (Maelwys)2/9 (22.2%)
Week 4Soren Ramme Nielsen (s_ramme)1/5 (20.0%)


Week 9 Preview

The complete schedule can be found in the article 2013 Regional Championships Schedule. There are eight Regional tournaments this week:

Saturday 1st JuneSunday 2nd June
Second Edition (Standard)
Oliver's Sickbay
Kurt-Weill-Str. 41
06844 Dessau
Germany
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
First Edition (OTF)
Arby's Restaurant
7110 Clairemont Mesa Boulevard
San Diego, CA 92111
United States
[Pre-register]
First Edition (OTF)
Jazzland
Franz-Josefs-Kai 29
1010 Vienna
Austria
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Tribbles (Standard)
The Pommeler's Rest
198 Tower Bridge Road
London, SE1 2UN
United Kingdom
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Second Edition (Standard)
Battlezone Games
4333 Czech Lane, Suite B5
Cedar Rapids, IA 52402
United States
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
Tribbles (Standard)
Battlezone Games
4333 Czech Lane, Suite B5
Cedar Rapids, IA 52402
United States
[Discuss] [Pre-register]
First Edition (OTF)
Battlezone Games
4333 Czech Lane, Suite B5
Cedar Rapids, IA 52402
United States
[Pre-register]
First Edition (OTF)
The University of Washington
Husky Union Building (The Hub)
4001 NE Stevens Way
Seattle, WA 98195
United States
[Discuss] [Pre-register]

Oliver's Sickbay: This will be the fourth year that this Second Edition Vandros IV Regional has been organized. Past years have seen between five and eight players attend, and there are three players pre-registered so far. Host Oliver Thust (bashircommander) looks to be the player to watch. He has very favorable winning records, at 70% or higher, against his usual opponents; and has won three of the six tournaments he has entered this year. The question comes over any players making a surprise appearance. Previous years have seen some great players participate in this Regional: Sebastian Kirstein (Caretaker's Guest), Johannes Klarhauser (Kaiser) and Tobias Rausmann (garetjax). Any one of which is capable of winning the Regional if they turn up. Knowing that Johannes likes to blame his losses on my predictions for him to win, I'll give him a break and pick Sebastian to retain his title.

Kris: Oliver Thust to win. Why? The Outlaw has dominated in Fatal-4-Ways this year, and came out on top when he and I went toe to toe at a house show in Cokato back in August. As a disciple of The Manhattan Project, he's also been refining his technique under the watchful eyes of The Kaiser and The Total Package, and my sources tell me he's quickly becoming a purveyor of pain in his own right.

Steve: Johannes Klarhauser to win. He knows how to win.

Past Second Edition Regional results at Oliver's Sickbay:
2012, won by Sebastian Kirstein (Caretaker's Guest) playing [Rom] Romulan.
2011, won by Johannes Klarhauser (Kaiser) playing [TOS] Original Series.
2010, won by Christian Zipper (zippercommander) playing [Bor] Borg.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Arby's Restaurant: This First Edition Risa Regional is reaching its fifth anniversary this weekend. Anywhere between six and ten players have participated in previous years, and six players have already pre-registered for this year's event. Two-time winner of this Regional, Rogue Shindler (SirRogue), hasn't won a tournament at the venue since his victory at last year's Regional. In that time, Johnny Holeva (jjh) has won three tournaments, and Dan Hamman (SirDan) and Thomas Vineberg (Exon) have won two each. Also in contention will be Charlie Plaine (MidnightLich). My sources tell me that the reigning World Champion is building a deck for him. Whether Ken Tufts volunteered or was given an executive order by our chairman is somewhat unclear. Either way, we can expect great things from Charlie on Saturday. When it comes to picking a winner, I have to go with Mr. Consistent, Johnny Holeva. If he doesn't win, whoever beats him will take the title.

Kris: Thomas Vineberg to win. Why? The Viper is the reigning United States Champion, and as someone who once managed his father, Cowboy Bob, I can tell you his bloodline's got winners in it. Provided he rebounds from back-to-back performances he'd sooner forget, it may be time for me to pry 'em away from the California Committee and get 'em to join the "The Family" like his dear ol' dad.

Steve: Dan Hamman to win as he is in great form this year with three tournament wins.

Past First Edition Regional results at Arby's Restaurant:
2012, won by Rogue Shindler (SirRogue) playing [Kli] Klingon.
2011, won by Thomas Kamiura (Bosskamiura) playing [Car] Cardassian.
2010, won by Franklin Kenter (MilesStuntDouble) playing [Fer] [Rom] [TOS] [SF] Ferengi / Romulan / Original Series / Starfleet.
2009, won by Rogue Shindler (SirRogue) playing [Baj] Bajoran.
2008, not played.

Battlezone Games (Second Edition): This will be the fourth year that this Deep Space 9 Regional has been organized. Following a bumper crowd of 18 players in 2010, there were nine and twelve players in the past two years. It looks like this year could be described with the phrase "bumper crowd" again, what with 13 players already pre-registered. People far more familiar with geography than me have informed me that players from five states (IA, IL, MN, NB & ND) will be playing. I'm not sure what those letters mean, but they're anagrams of "Mini n Bland" and "Limb and Inn". Ahem, back to the tournament... Al Schaefer (ltkettch17) will be looking to defend the title, as he has won for the past two years. Al already has one Regional title to his name this year, and has two more wins from four regular tournaments. Michael Van Breemen (The Ninja Scot) has also won a Regional this year, and has three more wins from eight tournaments in the last five months, so he will be in contention too. Casey Wickum (MrCub21) hasn't won a tournament since last year, but he consistently places well and will be a threat to anyone he faces. Matthew Hayes (karonofborg13) hasn't performed well at the two Regionals he has attended this year, but he has six wins from twelve tournaments otherwise, and with a record like that could easily challenge for the title. The final contender to highlight is Michael O'Shogay (shagg08). He has finished in third place in all three Regionals held at the venue, each time just one loss from taking the title himself. Anyone looking for good odds would do well to back 'Michael'. I think the smart choice is between Al Schaefer and Michael Van Breemen though. Given that Michael has a 75% winning record over Al, I'm going to take my own advice, and back a Michael to win.

Kris: Al Schaefer to win. Why? The Sandman's got more hits than Elvis, Gorilla, having collected Regional gold at his past four pay per view appearances. If that weren't enough of a reason to pick 'em, two years ago he and The People's Champ each snagged Regional wins in the other man's hometown, and with MVB's Illinois win already in the books my big brain says history is bound to repeat itself.

Steve: Michael Van Breemen to win. He will have an innovative deck idea that will take the field by storm.

Past Second Edition Regional results at Battlezone Games:
2012, won by Al Schaefer (ltkettch17) playing Earth Space 9.
2011, won by Al Schaefer (ltkettch17) playing [Bor] Borg.
2010, won by Nat Kirton (Nate Jeezy) playing [Voy] Voyager.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Battlezone Games (Tribbles): The Deep Space 9 Regional weekend continues with this Tribbles Regional. This will be the second year it is held. Last year, it followed a First Edition Regional, and attracted five players. This year, the influx of players from other states to play Second Edition means that nine have already pre-registered. Of those players, Matthew Hayes (karonofborg13) has the highest average score of 537,223 Tribbles per tournament, and the best win percentage, at 31% from 154 tournaments. Those are the sort of statistics you would need to become the #1 ranked Tribbles breeder in the world. Matthew's closest challengers are Jeremy Benedict (flrazor), with an average score of 300,239 Tribbles per tournament he enters; Justin Kaufman (CrimsonRavage), with an average score of 270,990 Tribbles per tournament he enters; Casey Wickum (MrCub21), with a win percentage of 40% from ten tournaments; and Eric Bieche (biecheer), with a win percentage of 22% from 76 tournaments. Jeremy looks to have the most impressive recent record and he is my pick to win.

Kris: Eric Bieche to win. Why? The CPW territory is pulling out all the stops for this Battle Royale, dubbing it a "Royal Rumble" and inviting upwards of 30 Superstars to showcase their talents this weekend at this RoH taping. Even though all these competitors are going to try and send him over the top rope, A-List is still the reigning Continental Champion and where I come from, to be the man, you gotta beat the man, and until his feet touch the floor he's still... the man!

Steve: Matthew Hayes will win. He will score 18 million Tribbles and be the first to crack 100 million lifetime Tribbles.

Past Tribbles Regional results at Battlezone Games:
2012, won by Mark Bloom (Nermal) playing a Go deck.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Jazzland: This First Edition "Borg Region" Regional is back for its second year after a year's hiatus. The local playgroup don't appear to have played in eight months and may be somewhat rusty. Julius Melhardt (Clerasil ToB) should have the easiest time getting back into the game, given that he has won five of the eight tournaments he has previously entered. Tournament director, Stefan Slaby (Winner of Borg) is the only other Austrian player with a tournament win to his name, and that came back in 2010. However he has a 100% winning record against all of his opponents except for Julius. The key matchup will be the game between these two players, with the winner taking all. I think Julius will retain the title he won two years ago.

Kris: Julius Melhardt to win. Why? Despite the fact that Mr. Unbreakable is the guy dressed like a zebra for this contest, Masked Muscle pulled down Regional gold in a ladder match at this venue back in 2011 and won a Battle Royale in that very ring back in March. But as you know, Gorilla, winning often comes in feasts or famines in this business so if he can gorge himself on gold, I say do it!

Steve: Tournament director Stefan Slaby to win, as (at the time of writing) no one yet is pre-registered for this event.

Past First Edition Regional results at Jazzland:
2012, not played.
2011, won by won by Julius Melhardt (Clerasil ToB) playing [Fed] Federation.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

The Pommeler's Rest: This will be the second year that this Omarion Nebula Tribbles Regional has been held. Last year saw five players participate, two of which were invading from Denmark. There are no such invaders among the four players pre-registered so far. Of them, former World Champion Will Hoskin (Gumbo) is the clear favorite (as much as it pains me to write that). He has won 32% of the 44 tournaments he has entered, and averages a score of 408,856 Tribbles per tournament. In contrast, James Hoskin (RedDwarf) has won only 4% of the 51 tournaments he has entered, and averages a score of 303,515 Tribbles per tournament. Those statistics are eclipsed by those of Nick Yankovec (nickyank), who has only played in two tournaments, but averaged a score of 383,917 Tribbles at them both. Stuart Marsh (SAM2000) has never played Tribbles competitively before (is he maintaining an amateur status for when it becomes an Olympic sport?), and has just as much chance of winning as Nick does - especially when James and Will are going to spend the entire tournament attacking each other. To pick the winner, I'm going to let my heart rule my head and shamelessly pick myself to win.

Kris: Will Hoskin to win. Why? Wee Willy is a former Battle Royale World's Heavyweight Champion who also happens to win 35% of the contests he enters. As the junior member of The British Bulldogs, he and his older brother dwarf their competitors in terms of experience in this environment, and like being the tallest kid in the 4th grade it's that experience that's gonna put the younger Mr. Hoskin a head above the rest.

Steve: I will pick James Hoskin, because I want him to ask me back to do another interview.

Past Tribbles Regional results at The Pommeler's Rest:
2012, won by Soren Ramme Nielsen (s_ramme) playing a Go deck.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

Battlezone Games (First Edition): The third part of the Deep Space 9 Regional weekend sees a First Edition title up for grabs on Sunday. This is the third year this Regional has been run. It attracted four players in 2010, six players in 2011, and eight have pre-registered for this year's tournament. Among them, both former winners of this title: Jordan Leung (FrakkinPhoenix) and Jon Carter (pfti). The two are very hard to separate, having played a similar number of tournaments. Jordan has a slightly better win percentage (23.8% to Jon's 23.1%), but Jon has more wins (four to Jordan's one) to his name in the past year. Jordan is also the reigning United States (East) National champion, but Jon was the runner-up. They'll face stiff competition from Matthew Hayes (karonofborg13) and Jeremy Huth (9of24). Both have achieved second place at a Regional already this year, and both have won 50% of the tournaments they have entered since the turn of the year. It will be incredibly tight, but I think Jon will win this one.

Kris: Jordan Leung to win. Why? The Dragon's a former World's Heavyweight Champion and reigning National Champion that hasn't "done the honors" for another Superstar since November of last year. With a 77% win percentage in hand and the zebra stripes on his back, I expect there will be nothing better than a good, blind referee come Sunday.

Steve: Jon Carter to win because he won an event this year using Kazon.

Past First Edition Regional results at Battlezone Games:
2012, won by Jon Carter (pfti) playing [Rom] Romulan.
2011, won by Jordan Leung (FrakkinPhoenix) playing [SF] Starfleet.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.

The University of Washington: This will be the second year that this First Edition Ferenginar Regional has been held. As Seattle is just over two hours drive from Vancouver, a Canadian invasion seems likely. In fact, the tournament description states that "Tufts will definitely be there", so it must be true. Last year saw eight players participate with the soon-to-be 2012 World Champion, Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh), coming out on top. This year, only three players have pre-registered so far. Still, Ken can expect competition from organizer J (The Mad Vulcan) and Kurtis Correia (CmdrSpork82). While neither has won as many tournaments as Ken has (51 from 83 he has participated in), both win approximately 11% of the tournaments they enter. They also know what it takes to beat Ken, with three and four wins over him, respectively. Just like everyone else, I think Ken will take this one.

Kris: Ken Tufts to win. Why? Lemme tell you something, Gorilla, in the past year The Toast of the Coast has Blackhole Slam'd a Regional, Canadian National, and World's Heavyweight title, not to mention more than a few buffet tables and a handful of catered bar mitzvah's. With all his recent success the man's become a legend in this business, and if you don't believe it just ask him!

Steve: Ken Tufts to win. Does he ever lose in First Edition?

Past First Edition Regional results at The University of Washington:
2012 (alternate venue), won by Kenneth Tufts (Worf Son of Mogh) playing Hirogen/Non-Aligned.
2011, not played.
2010, not played.
2009, not played.
2008, not played.


Next Week

Week 10 of the Road to Worlds sees this weekend's eight Regionals reviewed, an interview with a winning player, more statistics, and a preview of next weekend's six Regionals.

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