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 (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition! 
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Delta Quadrant

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Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2010 5:42 pm
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Location: San Diego
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Post Re: (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition!
Armus wrote:
Armus wrote:
I'll take Ken for the upside, Johannes for the upside, and Nate, because sometimes chalk is chalk for a reason.

How is this new rule set going to impact Road to Worlds, if at all?



Nate's fixing to be a ratings Pinata. Maggie is all upside and doesn't need a tournament win to get a big increase. She pulls a move on at least one of the big dogs and cashes in.

You only lose rating points if you lose, Brian.

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Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:32 pm
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Joined: Tue Dec 18, 2007 9:59 am
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Location: Mount Prospect, IL, USA
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Post Re: (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition!
Armus wrote:
Armus wrote:
I'll take Ken for the upside, Johannes for the upside, and Nate, because sometimes chalk is chalk for a reason.

How is this new rule set going to impact Road to Worlds, if at all?



Nate's fixing to be a ratings Pinata. Maggie is all upside and doesn't need a tournament win to get a big increase. She pulls a move on at least one of the big dogs and cashes in.


This is the correct take.


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Kaiser wrote:
Logic does not really factor into it; only game rules matter. Happily, the two often coincide.


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Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:50 pm
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Post (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition!
edgeofhearing wrote:
That said, if this format ends up sucking, I can always try something different next year.


I like it so far.


Sent through Subspace from the Starship Enterprise

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Kaiser wrote:
Logic does not really factor into it; only game rules matter. Happily, the two often coincide.


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Sun Mar 31, 2019 4:14 am
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Gamma Quadrant


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Joined: Sat Dec 22, 2007 2:59 pm
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Post Re: (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition!
Congrats to Maggie for paying off the upside with a +61 at San Diego Masters!

In other events, MVB goes 3-0 for a +23, just edging out Tufts, who went 2-1 for +21, while across the pond, Sascha Kiefer wins the Kassel Regional, going 4-0 for +20 ratings points, but the big mover was Philip Scholz, a sub-1500 player who logged wins against heavy hitters Tjark Ott and Benjamin Liebich to record a monster +45 rating point gain and land above 1500 for the first time since 2013! Congrats to Philip on the outsize performance! :cheersL:

This format is definitely interesting. Going #chalk can pay off (see MVB) but chalk players have a lot less control over the outcome here as they could beat an upside player who still gets a big ratings gain from other wins (see both Maggie and Philip, who both lost to the respective tournament winners).

Makes it a lot harder to predict on a week to week basis.

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Sun Mar 31, 2019 9:35 am
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Post (2E) Upcoming Events Preditions - New Competition!
Thanks Brian, and I appreciate you doing the run-down of who got the highest rating jumps in each tournament. It’s a fun metric to look at to hear about players who don’t normally get a lot of attention, like Philip.

:cheersL: to everyone who played this weekend.


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Kaiser wrote:
Logic does not really factor into it; only game rules matter. Happily, the two often coincide.


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Sun Mar 31, 2019 9:52 am
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