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Director of Organized Play
By LORE (Kris Sonsteby)
 - Director of Organized Play
 -  
Architect
1E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
2E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
W.C.T. Chairman's Trophy winner 2014-2015
#600389
Armus wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 8:50 am So looking at the current standings and who's played whom, Paddy will play either Kris, Jarrod, or Niall.

Heaney will play Niall, Jarrod, or MVB

Kris will play Paddy or MVB

MVB will play Heaney, Kris, Jarrod, or Niall

Jarrod will play Paddy, Heaney, MVB, or Niall

Niall will play Paddy, Heaney, Jarrod, or MVB

So looking at the possible outcomes, since pairings happen top down, Kris has a 33% chance to play Paddy and a 67% chance to play MVB.

If Paddy gets paired with Jarrod, Kris has to play MVB, and that leaves Heaney and Niall to match up.

If Paddy gets paired with Niall, Kris still gets paired up with MVB and that leaves Heaney and Jarrod to match up.

If Paddy gets paired with Kris, then it's a bit more open. Since Heaney, Jarrod, MVB, and Niall can all play each other it's a straight up die roll.

Should be an interesting final round!
That's... way more analysis than I could do this early in the morning before coffee. Having read it, now I've gone cross-eyed. :D
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By Armus (Brian Sykes)
 - The Center of the Galaxy
 -  
Regent
Community Contributor
#600390
Also, for what it's worth, it looks like Maggie is playing McCalpin in an 8 vs. 7 match and Wisnewski is playing Snyder in a 3 vs. 3 match, and those two are locked in. Seppel and Hoffman have already played so one of them will play Vineberg in a 6 vs. 6 match and the other will play Schmitz in a 6 vs. 5 match.
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Online OP Coordinator
By pfti (Jon Carter)
 - Online OP Coordinator
 -  
2E Cardassia Regional Champion 2023
#600392
Here are the official pairings

Paddy v Kris
Jarrod v MVB
James v Niall
Maggie v Matthew M
Jared v Thomas V
Seppl vs Alexander
Brad v Joseph

Lets do this

Can Kris drop Paddy and create chaos. Will Paddy hold the line and take the championship.
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Director of Organized Play
By LORE (Kris Sonsteby)
 - Director of Organized Play
 -  
Architect
1E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
2E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
W.C.T. Chairman's Trophy winner 2014-2015
#600393
pfti wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 9:40 am Here are the official pairings

Paddy v Kris
Jarrod v MVB
James v Niall
Maggie v Matthew M
Jared v Thomas V
Seppl vs Alexander
Brad v Joseph

Lets do this

Can Kris drop Paddy and create chaos. Will Paddy hold the line and take the championship.
I would be up for recording this match if Paddy is ok with it. I just do not know yet how I will be able to get it in, given this weekend are the local Regional gigs in South Dakota pretty much from Friday morning through Sunday early evening. :?
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By Armus (Brian Sykes)
 - The Center of the Galaxy
 -  
Regent
Community Contributor
#600394
pfti wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 9:40 am James v Niall
Man, not to take away from the championship match, but it looks like @sexecutioner has the opportunity to add a SECOND World Champion to THE LIST in this tournament!

Watch out for that Sexecution, @BCSWowbagger!
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Director of Organized Play
By LORE (Kris Sonsteby)
 - Director of Organized Play
 -  
Architect
1E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
2E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
W.C.T. Chairman's Trophy winner 2014-2015
#600395
Armus wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:41 am Man, not to take away from the championship match, but it looks like @sexecutioner has the opportunity to add a SECOND World Champion to THE LIST in this tournament!

Watch out for that Sexecution, @BCSWowbagger!
Pro Tip - you can avoid Sexecution simply by not winning the World Championship. Right, Brian?

Follow me for more life hacks! :cheersL:
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Online OP Coordinator
By pfti (Jon Carter)
 - Online OP Coordinator
 -  
2E Cardassia Regional Champion 2023
#600397
I really want to do some playoff tiebreak of Paddy loses, but I would have had to announce that in advance.
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By Armus (Brian Sykes)
 - The Center of the Galaxy
 -  
Regent
Community Contributor
#600400
LORE wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:01 am
Armus wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:41 am Man, not to take away from the championship match, but it looks like @sexecutioner has the opportunity to add a SECOND World Champion to THE LIST in this tournament!

Watch out for that Sexecution, @BCSWowbagger!
Pro Tip - you can avoid Sexecution simply by not winning the World Championship. Right, Brian?

Follow me for more life hacks! :cheersL:
You can avoid Sexecution just by not losing to Niall. You can avoid THE LIST by not winning a World Championship.
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Director of Organized Play
By LORE (Kris Sonsteby)
 - Director of Organized Play
 -  
Architect
1E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
2E Andoria Regional Champion 2023
W.C.T. Chairman's Trophy winner 2014-2015
#600401
pfti wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:17 am I really want to do some playoff tiebreak of Paddy loses, but I would have had to announce that in advance.
Surprise final confrontation! :wink: :cheersL: :cheersR: :shifty:
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Online OP Coordinator
By pfti (Jon Carter)
 - Online OP Coordinator
 -  
2E Cardassia Regional Champion 2023
#600402
But we might have a three way tie.

Spoke match final confrontation
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First Edition Rules Master
By BCSWowbagger (James Heaney)
 - First Edition Rules Master
 -  
Community Contributor
#600403
LORE wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:25 am I would be up for recording this match if Paddy is ok with it. I just do not know yet how I will be able to get it in, given this weekend are the local Regional gigs in South Dakota pretty much from Friday morning through Sunday early evening. :?
As someone in the same boat, I suspect we can get extensions if need be. 'specially for the championship match you've got there.

We have until next Wednesday at least, right? Since pairings posted today?
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Online OP Coordinator
By pfti (Jon Carter)
 - Online OP Coordinator
 -  
2E Cardassia Regional Champion 2023
#600404
at least until next wednesday is fine by me
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By Professor Scott (Mathew McCalpin)
 - Delta Quadrant
 -  
Trailblazer
1E Cardassia Regional Champion 2023
#600406
pfti wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:43 am at least until next wednesday is fine by me
Attachments:
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By sexecutioner (Niall Matthew)
 - Gamma Quadrant
 -  
1E World Runner-Up 2023
1E European Continental Semi-Finalist 2023
1E British National Second Runner-Up 2023
#600414
Damn! I'm looking forward to this.

Will Heaney get revenge for me Vic Fontaining Commander Charvanek into play to kill his 6 PNZ strategy? Find out here...
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First Edition Rules Master
By BCSWowbagger (James Heaney)
 - First Edition Rules Master
 -  
Community Contributor
#600421
sexecutioner wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 3:32 pm Damn! I'm looking forward to this.

Will Heaney get revenge for me Vic Fontaining Commander Charvanek into play to kill his 6 PNZ strategy? Find out here...
At this point, I just assume that you've stocked every silver bullet that will specifically nuke my deck, including Howard Heirloom Candle.
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