abargar7510 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 06, 2024 7:46 pm
LORE wrote: ↑Tue Aug 06, 2024 2:58 pm
It isn't design's or balance's fault that folks flat out refuse to run Tribunal and Ref Tents at high-level tournaments - as far as I can tell, MVB was the only person who did and he beat 3 Aggro Borg decks at NACC as a result.
What would've happened if half (let's say) the players showed up with one less seed card and Tribunal/Ref Tents?
Aggro Borg would have been less effective (IMO). They probably would still have secured mod wins in some cases, but I think I would have mod lossed my first-round game, and we might have even seen some True Ties if all players were really stubborn.
This raises a really interesting question to me, as admittedly, someone who struggles to understand the mindset of players who compete at a high-level. Why would so many people play something, then, that is apparently so easily countered?
Because we didn't expect it to be
actually countered.
Every deck in Star Trek Cards can be
easily defeated by the right counter-deck. There is simply no way to build an effective deck that deals with
everything, so you're always making tradeoffs -- giving yourself an edge in one matchup by sacrificing yourself to another. You invest more resources in defending against the decks and counters that you actually expect to see. If you go to a tournament thinking, "I've built a deck that can win any game," your deck will, most likely, lose every game, because it's too bloated and weighed down by counters to actually score points quicker than your opponent.
I can't speak for high-level players, and I do a lot less metagaming than some who are a lot smarter than I am... but, when I go to an event, I pretty much always have a list in my head of "bad matchups this deck autoloses against." I try to make that list relatively short and I try to make sure most of the decks on it aren't common decks... but there's always one I'm particularly worried about. Then I roll the dice and hope I don't face that specific deck. I usually win that dice role! There's only a few games in a tournament, and tons of possible deck types, so the odds are in my favor!
For example, I felt fine rolling into a tournament last year with an all-Neutral Zone deck that could get frozen for up to several turns by The Wake of the Borg, and almost certainly loses when that happens. I just bet on not facing very many Wakes of the Borg! That bet paid off! The one game where I did face Wake, I miraculously drew into my counter on Turn 2, and was able to neutralize it at minimal cost.
(Incidentally, this is why posts complaining that "[some card] is dead now because Superior Surgical Knowledge exists" are, in my opinion, misguided. [some card]
might make your deck a bad matchup against Vidiians -- but that's okay! The vast majority of games aren't against Vidiians! You can still play the deck and then just accept that you'll probably lose to Vidiians!)
One of the overriding facts of the meta right now (in my opinion) is that, in the past ~4 years, it has gone from
absolutely unthinkable to show up at a high-level event without Tribunal of Q, to almost unthinkable to actually
bring a Tribunal of Q. Forget battle decks; I've been gleefully redshirting without a restriction from Civil War or serious fear of Villagers With Torches for years now! The Reign of Speed the past couple years encouraged this, because Tribunal/Civil War was a drag on your own speed, and everything you had needed to be devoted to speed.
However, that lack of defense encourages decks like Aggro Borg that can exploit the lack of defense. Players are (I hope) starting to remember that they need to invest some seed cards in defense (can't spend all 12 slots on jumpstarts these days!). Indeed, that was one of the things Vidiians were designed to encourage. "Hi, we have an Organ Bank! There are lots of ways to deal with that! Your deck needs to include one!"
However, this transition to more defense is still happening. I, at least, didn't expect to actually see more than 1 Strategema all day at NACC. I thought I might lose to that Strategema. Both predictions were correct. Other smart players appear to have made the same prediction. Predicting what's going to be played at the tournament is a significant part of succeeding at high-level play.
(I underestimated exactly how intense MVB's Strategema would be, but his was the only one I faced all day. Also, the sheer psychic pressure of playing against Aggro Borg sometimes leads Strategema players into making mistakes -- something I was counting on if I did face Strategema -- but MVB was unflappable and played wonderfully.)
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